August 23, 2021 Correction: The case trend June-July 2021

I had previously misidentified & misrepresented the trend in cases as being under 20 cases for 5 weeks, then beginning to spike. 2 of those weeks were actually 30 cases & 26 cases. I had misunderstood the reporting from Macon County Health Department, which led to this mistake.

Upon further inspection, I saw an even clearer trend in cases that spanned a 7 week period, where the highest case count in one week was 32 cases. Prior to this, there were 9 weekly reports that each showed 79+ cases, a few being over 150 cases in one week. This 7 week period is for reports on June 4th - July 16th. After July 16th, we start seeing much higher case counts, with August 13th's report showing 280 cases in one week & some individual days showing over 100 cases for the day.

As of August 23rd, this is my reporting on the trend:

See the weekly reports from MCHD. See August 17th report from MCHD.

• April 1 - May 28
  • 9 weekly reports, each with 79+ cases
  • 8 weeks with 11+ hospitalizations
  • 6 weeks had over 100 cases
  • 3 weeks had over 150 cases
  • 19 deaths total
• June 4 - July 16
  • 7 weekly reports, each with less than 32 cases
  • No weeks had more than 8 hospitalizations
  • 3 weeks with less than 18 cases
  • 5 covid deaths total
• Week of July 23rd: 50 cases, 1 death, 3 hospitalized
• Week of July 30th: 91 cases, 0 deaths, 7 hospitalized
• Week of August 6th: 169 cases, 0 deaths, 17 hospitalized
• Week of August 13th: 280 cases, 0 deaths, 21 hospitalized
• Day of August 17th: 119 cases, 2 deaths

You can visit my 2021 spike page to see the current explanation of this dip, then resurgence of covid.